Northwestern and part of west-central Indiana has a slight risk of severe weather between 9 a.m. EDT today and 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow, according to an updated “Day 1 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued at 8:58 a.m. EDT. The slight risk includes part of southwestern Lower Michigan and most of IMO SKYWARN quadrants three and four but none of quadrants one or two.

As you can see on the map at right, however, northeastern Indiana, including Indiana counties of IMO SKYWARN quadrant two, have a 5 percent probability of damaging straight-line thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots (58 mph) or higher within 25 miles of a point. That’s below “slight risk” criteria but makes it worthwhile to keep an eye on updated convective outlooks.

SPC plans to issue its next, updated “Day 1 Convective Outlook” by 12:30 p.m. EDT.