Latest convective outlook removes moderate risk, significant winds

Day 1 convective outlook map
Probabilities of damaging straight-line thunderstorm winds of 58 mph or higher within 25 miles of a point. Red area: 30 percent. Yellow: 15 percent. Brown: five percent. See an explanation of the probabilities. Highlighted counties: county warning area of the northern Indiana NWS office. Source: 9 p.m. EDT “Day 1 Convective Outlook.”

No part of the country has more than a slight risk of severe weather between 9 p.m. tonight and 8 a.m. tomorrow morning, according to the latest “Day 1 Convective Outlook” issued by the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center at 9 p.m. EDT. In addition, the latest outlook removes the area of enhanced risk of “significant” severe winds (75 mph or greater) that previously covered parts of northwestern Indiana.

The latest outlook indicates a 30 percent probability of damaging thunderstorm winds of 58 mph or greater in the western half of the 37-county warning area of the northern Indiana NWS office. In IMO SKYWARN quadrant two, the 30 percent probability area includes only the northwestern part of Whitley County. The remainder of Whitley County has a 15 percent probability, as does All of the Indiana counties of Allen, Huntington, Wells, Adams, Blackford and Jay. In quadrant two’s Ohio counties, all of Paulding and the western half of Van Wert have a 15 percent probability. The remainder of the quadrant has a five percent probability (less than “slight risk”). See an explanation of probabilities.

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