Surprise! Slight risk of severe weather today

See an update to this post (slight risk area revised).

Uncharacteristically, I didn’t look at today’s Day 1 Convective Outlook until just now (around 11:30 a.m.) and discovered, to my surprise, that it puts northern Indiana at a slight risk of severe weather. I’ll post details after the next convective outlook comes out at around 12:30 EDT, but here’s a quick synopsis:

In approximately the northern fourth of Indiana today and tonight, there’s a 15 percent probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots (58 mph) or higher within 25 miles of a point. The hail probability is five percent and the tornado probability is less than two percent.

The southern-most counties included are (from east to west) Putnam and Van Wert Counties of Ohio and the Indiana counties of Adams, Wells, Huntington, Wabash, Miami, Cass, White, Jasper and Newton. Counties of IMO SKYWARN quadrant two that are in the slight risk area are the Ohio counties of Paulding, Putnam and Van Wert and the Indiana Counties of Allen, Whitley, Huntington, Wells and Adams.