…FROST AND FREEZING CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT… .CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE REGION. IT WILL BE THE COLDEST ALONG AND EAST OF A CASSOPOLIS TO WARSAW TO MARION LINE…WHERE LOW TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY PLUMMET INTO THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD FROST TO
View the full statement on the NWS website.
Category Archives: SKYWARN
Freeze Watch issued October 18 at 11:57AM EDT until October 19 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS
…FREEZE WATCH TONIGHT… .CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR LOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLY DROPPING TO AROUND 30. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD FROST…ESPECIALLY IN FAVORABLE DRAINAGE LOCATIONS.
View the full statement on the NWS website.
Freeze Watch issued October 18 at 3:52AM EDT until October 19 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS
…FREEZE WATCH TONIGHT… .CLEARING SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR LOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH SOME LOCATIONS POSSIBLY DROPPING TO AROUND 30. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR WIDESPREAD FROST IN SOME AREAS…ESPECIALLY IN FAVORABLE DRAINAGE LOCATIONS.
View the full statement on the NWS website.
Special Weather Statement issued October 16 at 4:02AM EDT by NWS
…AREAS OF FOG WILL PERSIST IN MANY AREAS THROUGH SUNRISE… AREAS OF FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNRISE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN INDIANA…SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHWESTERN OHIO. PATCHY DENSE FOG CAN BE EXPECTED IN MAINLY RURAL AREAS WHERE VISIBILITIES WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
View the full statement on the NWS website.
NWS: Isolated/damaging gusts possible, watch unlikely
Isolated strong or even damaging wind gusts are possible in north-central and northeastern Indiana and southwestern Lower Michigan overnight, according to a mesoscale discussion that the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued at 8:26 p.m. EDT. The SPC does not expect to issue a watch, however, because the overall threat is too low.
The loss of daytime heating has resulted in insufficient atmospheric instability to support widespread severe thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, a tornado watch remains in effect for parts of central, southern and extreme northwestern Indiana.
NWS tweet: Line of storms won’t arrive in NE Indiana before 10 p.m.
Timing of the line of storms as it moves towards our area tonight. pic.twitter.com/mcuCR6aP5a
— NWS Northern Indiana (@NWSIWX) October 13, 2014
Latest outlook: More of Indiana at slight risk of severe weather
A larger part of Indiana has a slight risk of severe thunderstorms, according to an updated “Day 1 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued at 3:45 p.m. EDT.
As compared to the SPC’s midday update, the latest outlook extends a slight risk area to include north-central and northwestern Indiana and part of northeastern Indiana. The outlook covers the period from 4 p.m. EDT today to 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow.
The slight risk area now includes all of IMO SKYWARN quadrant three and Huntington County of quadrant two.
The greatest threat is damaging straight-line thunderstorm winds of 58 mph or greater, but meteorologists cannot rule out a tornado.
People in the slight risk area should keep a reliable source of weather warnings accessible through the night and SKYWARN storm spotters should prepare for possible activation.
The SPC will next update its severe weather outlook for today and tonight by 9 p.m. EDT.
Little change in Indiana severe weather threat
Much of western and southern Indiana continue to have a slight risk of severe weather between 12:30 p.m. EDT today and 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow, according to an updated “Day 1 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center issued at 12:34 p.m. EDT.
The main changes since the previous convective outlook are:
- Removal of the “significant” damaging wind risk.
- Expansion of the moderate risk area eastward to cover more of Mississippi and part of Alabama.
In most of the counties served by the northern Indiana NWS office, strong storms remain possible, with a heavy rain threat. But as of the time of this writing, the risk of a severe storm in that area is very small.
The SPC plans to update its convective outlook again by 4 p.m. EDT.
Slight risk of severe storms in much of Indiana today — Damaging wind greatest threat
Much of Indiana has a slight risk of severe storms between 9 a.m. EDT today and 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow, according to an updated “Day 1 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued at 8:36 a.m. EDT.
In Indiana, the greatest threat is damaging severe thunderstorm winds of 58 mph or greater, but meteorologists cannot rule out a tornado, especially in extreme southwestern Indiana.
Heavy rain is also possible throughout the state, as well as in Ohio and Michigan counties served by the northern Indiana NWS office.
As you can see on the map above, the slight risk area includes central, west-central, south-central and southwestern Indiana, including Lafayette, Indianapolis, Bloomington, Terre Haute and Evansville. As for the 37 counties served by the northern Indiana NWS office, the slight risk area includes only a small part of Cass County and most of White County.
Areas just outside the slight risk area, including Fort Wayne and the rest of IMO SKYWARN quadrant two, could still have strong storms with heavy rain and gusty winds that fall just short of severe criteria.
The risk of severe thunderstorms is much higher just to the south of Indiana, along the Mississippi River. That area, which includes Evansville, Ind., Paducah, Ken., Jonesboro and Pine Bluff, Ark., Memphis, Tenn., Tupelo and Jackson, Miss., and Monroe La. , have an enhanced risk of what the NWS calls “significant” damaging thunderstorms winds. The NWS defines “significant” in this case as gusts of 65 knots (75 mph) or greater. If you have friends or relatives in that area, be sure to advise them to stay tuned to a reliable weather source throughout the day.
Out next look at today’s severe weather outlook comes when the SPC issues and updated “Day 1 Convective Outlook.” It’s due by 12:30 p.m. EDT.
Much of Ind. continues to have slight risk of severe weather tomorrow
A smaller but still significant portion of Indiana continues to have a slight risk of severe weather between 8 a.m. tomorrow (Mon., Oct. 13) and 8 a.m. Tuesday, according to the “Day 2 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued at 1:59 a.m. EDT. As compared to yesterday’s “Day 3 Convective Outlook,” the slight risk area now includes less of northern and eastern Indiana.
The newly-drawn slight risk area (see map above) includes only four of the southwestern-most counties of the northern Indiana NWS office’s 37-county warning area; Miami, Cass, Pulaski and White.
Strong thunderstorms are possible elsewhere in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan, but those storms are not expected to be severe.
Within the slight risk area, widespread, straight-line damaging wind and a few tornadoes are the greatest threats. Any severe weather that forms in Indiana is most likely Monday night.
Our next look at the severe weather risk for tomorrow comes with an updated “Day 2 Convective Outlook” that the SPC plans to issue by 1:30 p.m. EDT today.