Probabilities of severe weather within 25 miles of any point between 8 a.m. EDT Monday, Jul. 13 and 8 a.m. EDT Tues., Jul. 14. Purple shading: 4% (moderate risk) Red: 30% (enhanced risk). Yellow: 15% (slight risk). Brown: 5% (marginal risk). Unshaded: Less than 5%. Inside black loop: 10% or greater probability of significant severe weather (see blog text). Source: SPC “Day 2 Convective Outlook” issued at 2 a.m. EDT.