Category Archives: SKYWARN

Slight risk of scary weather on Halloween

Convective outlook map

All of Indiana most of the western half of Ohio and extreme southern Michigan are at slight risk of severe weather between 8 a.m. EDT Thursday, October 31 and 8 a.m. EDT Friday, November 1, according to the Day Two Convective Outlook that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center issued at 1:26 p.m. EDT today. The slight risk area includes the entire 37-county warning area of the northern Indiana NWS office.

Halloween afternoon, forecasters expect a line of thunderstorms to develop and move rapidly eastward. The primary threat will be damaging straight-line winds. The line of storms could bend, however, into a bow or wave pattern, which could support tornadoes embedded within the line.

Parents venturing out with trick-or-treaters should make sure they have a way to receiving word of any storm watches or warnings that might come out tomorrow afternoon and evening. Possibilities include keeping the car radio tuned to a local station, signing up for text alerts available on the websites of many local media outlets and/or installing a weather alert smartphone app. SKYWARN spotters should prepare for the possibility of activation Thursday afternoon and/or evening.

The next update on severe weather risk for Halloween comes with the first Day One Convective Outlook of the day, due at approximately 2 a.m. EDT. Additional updates will follow at 9 a.m., 12:30 p.m. 4 p.m. and 8 p.m.

NWS announces new plans for SKYWARN storm spotter training

The northern Indiana office of the National Weather Service (NWS) today announced new plans for volunteer storm spotter traning as part of the NWS SKYWARN program.

The NWS office plans seven regional, multi-county spotter training sessions in 2014 (see the region map below). An NWS meteorologist will lead each regional session in person, rather than remotely via teleconference. The session for the region that includes Allen County, Indiana is scheduled to take place at Columbia City High School, 600 N. Whitley St., Columbia City, Ind. That session is scheduled for Feb. 18, beginning at 7 p.m. EST. The NWS will not conduct SKYWARN training in Allen County, Indiana in 2014 — not even the remotely-presented training the NWS provided in 2013.

NWS map of training regions

Spotters and people interested in becoming spotters may attend any of the regional spotter training sessions listed on the NWS event calendar. It is not necessary to attend the session designated for your county. For example, residents of southern Allen County might prefer to attend the training that’s scheduled in Bluffton, Ind. Regardless of which session you plan to attend, NWS requests that you register in advance, using the appropriate link on the NWS event calendar. Registration is not required but the NWS encourages registration to help it assue that it has sufficient facilities, etc. for the number of people who attend.

For those unable to attend any of the regional spotter training sessions in 2014, the NWS plans multiple other training opportunities. For more information, please see an email message below from Michael Lewis, the warning coordination meteorologist at the northern Indiana NWS office.

From: Michael.Lewis@noaa.gov [mailto:Michael.Lewis@noaa.gov]
Sent: Monday, October 21, 2013 12:10 PM
Subject: Spotter Training Continues!

The process of learning is a life-long journey and ceases never!

The National Weather Service will be hosting a series of spotter training programs beginning in February and continuing through March of 2014.

We will be using Social Media to engage the public (especially our spotters) YouTube to provide a series of spotter instructional videos, webinars at various times to answer spotter specific questions, and seven in-person training sessions throughout the area.

More details will be posted on the NWS Skywarn Page (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/iwx/?n=nwsnorthernindianaskywarnpage)

Registration for the live spotter training can be found on our Event Calendar http://www.crh.noaa.gov/iwx/program_areas/outreach/index.php

Additionally, there are several FREE MetEd Online courses that are beneficial to all spotters.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/iwx/?n=online_spotter_training

Keep on learning!

Michael Lewis
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
NWS Northern Indiana

Severe threat moved further east

Convective outlook map

None of the counties covered by the Northern Indiana National Weather Service (NWS) office are at risk of severe weather today or tonight, according to the Day 1 Convective Outlook the NWS Storm Prediction Center issued at 12:28 p.m. today. As compared to yesterday’s Day 2 Convective Outlook, the slight risk area moved to the south and east, covering parts of central and southern Ohio and parts of West Virginia, Kentucky and Tennessee.

While forecasters expect no severe thunderstorms in the Fort Wayne area, locally heavy rainfall rates are likely east of Interstate 69 this afternoon. The heavy rain could lead to flooding, particularly in northwestern Ohio, according to the Hazardous weather Outlook that the northern Indiana NWS office issued at 4:29 a.m. EDT today

Watch possible in central, eastern Indiana

Mesoscale discussion map

The national weather service might issue a weather watch for parts of Indiana this afternoon, possibly including part of Allen County and counties to the south and west, according to a mesoscale discussion the Storm Prediction Center issued at 4:18 p.m. EDT.

The main threat would be damaging straight-line winds from lines of thunderstorms.

Tomorrow’s slight risk area shrinks

Convective outlook map

The western half of Allen County, Indiana is no longer in an area of slight risk for severe weather between 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow and 8 a.m. EDT Monday, according to the updated Day 2 Convective Outlook the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center issued at 1:40 p.m. EDT today. Under the updated outlook, the following Indiana counties in IMO SKYWARN quadrant two have a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow: eastern Allen, eastern Wells, Adams, eastern Blackford and Jay. All of the quadrant’s Ohio counties remain in the slight risk area.

Isolated damaging winds are possible in the slight risk area, especially during the afternoon and early evening. Forecasters also say they cannot rule out the risk of a tornado.

We will know much more about tomorrow’s severe weather risk when the SPC issues its first Day 1 Convective Outlook early tomorrow morning.

Slight risk of severe weather all weekend

Convective outlook map

Parts of northern Indiana are at risk of severe weather between 12:30 p.m. EDT today and 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow, according to the Day 1 Convective Outlook that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) at 12:24 EDT today. Other parts have the same level of risk between 8 a.m. tomorrow (Sunday) and 8 a.m. Monday. Today’s slight risk area includes all but the easternmost counties of Indiana. In IMO SKYWARN quadrant two, today’s slight risk area includes all or part of the following counties: Whitley, Huntington and Blackford. Other counties in the area can expect thunderstorms but have an insignificant risk of severe weather today and tonight. The main risk today is for a few storms in the slight risk area to become well enough organized to create damaging straight-line winds. The highest chance of severe weather today, however, is west of Indiana.

Tomorrow is a different story.

Convective outlook map

A slight risk area includes all Indiana and Ohio counties in IMO SKYWARN quadrant two, plus a large part of east central Indiana and western Ohio, according to the Day 2 Convective Outlook the SPC issued at 1:31 a.m. EDT today. Morning storms in the area could bring damaging winds an possibly a tornado.

Slight risk of severe weather in Indiana tomorrow (Oct. 5)

convective outlook map
Yellow area: Slight risk of severe weather. Green area: Thunderstorms, but insignificant risk of severe weather.

Much of Indiana has a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow, Saturday, Oct. 5, according to the Day 2 Convective Outlook that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued at 1:30 p.m. EDT today. The slight risk area includes all Indiana counties served by the northern Indiana NWS office, except Steuben, DeKalb, Allen, Adams, most of Jay and the eastern half of Wells. In IMO SKYWARN quadrant two, the slight risk area includes Whitley, Huntington, western Wells and Blackford Counties.

Forecasters expect lines of multiple thunderstorms to form during the afternoon tomorrow. The main threat is for damaging straight-line winds. Some hail is also possible as is a tornado.

We’ll know much more about the risk when SPC issues its Day 1 Convective Outlooks tomorrow, beginning at about 1 a.m. EDT. Meanwhile, if you have any outdoor activities planned tomorrow, it would be wise to have some means of receiving weather warnings and be prepared to curtail the activities should severe weather approach.

Work on Weather Radio site to continue

NOAA Weather Radio logo

The NOAA Weather Radio transmitter in Fort Wayne returned to the air last evening, after a day of repair work at the tower site, according to a Public Information Statement the National Weather Service issued at 8:54 p.m. last night. The statement also indicated that additional work is needed and that the transmitter might therefore be periodically off the air again today.