All posts by Jay Farlow

I'm Jay Farlow. W9LW is my amateur (ham) radio call sign. I've been a ham since 1973. I've been a volunteer storm spotter for the National Weather Service SKYWARN program since the 1970s. I've also been a volunteer EMT and firefighter and member of a disaster medical assistance team. I advise the leadership team of Associated Churches Active in Disaster, a ministry of Associate Churches of Fort Wayne and Allen County. Learn more about w9lw at www.qrz.com/db/w9lw.

Midweek storm expected to bring more snow

NWS graph showing snow accumulation probabilities for South Bend, Fort Wayne, Lima and Logansport

Forecasters expect another snow storm to hit northern Indiana and northwestern Ohio Tuesday night and Wednesday. According to the graph above, which the northern Indiana National Weather Service office issued at 1:48 p.m., There’s a 50 percent or better chance of at least three inches of snow in the area that office covers.

While some uncertainly still exists in the forecast — and the forecast could change with small changes in the track of the storm — forecasters currently expect most of the snow to fall south of approximately U.S. 6.

To stay up to date on the forecast, or to see snowfall forecasts for your specific location, visit www.weather.gov/iwx.

SKWYARN quadrant net makes small changes

IMO SKYWARN banner

The net control station (NCS) team for the IMO SKYWARN Quadrant Two Net on 146.88 MHz has made some slight operational changes as we enter the 2014 severe weather season.

The main change affects when directed SKYWARN nets will begin. Effective immediately, a directed net will begin any time a tornado warning is issued for any part of Allen County, Ind. In addition, if a liaison from a county SKYWARN net requests a directed quadrant net, a directed net will begin. Finally, SKYWARN NCS have the authority to begin a directed net at any time they deem it necessary. In general, an NCS will begin a directed net anytime the amount of spotter traffic or expected traffic warrants disrupting normal repeater operation.

IMO SKYWARN quadrant map
IMO SKYWARN quadrant map. Counties in quadrant two (green) may relay reports via the quadrant two net on the 146.88 MHz repeater in Fort Wayne.The “IWX” in northeastern Kosciusko County represents the approximate location of the northern Indiana NWS weather forecast office.

Please remember that when a directed net is in session, all stations are requested to refrain from transmitting on the frequency except when they have observed something that meets National Weather Service (NWS) reporting criteria (or when the NCS requests information from them). During a directed net, stations should not transmit information obtained from broadcasters, announce the activation of sirens, etc. as such transmissions are not first-hand reports that meet NWS criteria.

Because of the second minor change in procedures, stations should not plan to use the SKYWARN net as a primary means of obtaining information from the NWS (e.g. warnings, special weather statements, etc.). With today’s technology, even spotters in the field have multiple other means of receiving such information, including portable NOAA weather radios (or amateur radios tuned to the NOAA frequency), broadcast radios, mobile Internet connections and smartphone apps. For this reason and to keep the frequency as clear as possible for spotter reports, net control stations will now severely limit the reading of NWS products on the air, especially during directed nets. Expect, for example, to hear little more than, “A severe thunderstorm warning has been issued for northern Allen County, Indiana.” If you want the details, such as storm location and movement, obtain them via other means. If you haven’t been paying attention to the frequency and want to know why you’re hearing sirens, turn to broadcast or Internet sources, rather than requesting such information during a directed SKYWARN net.

Of course, when SKYWARN is in standby mode, all stations are welcome to transmit at any time and for any purpose, as long as they keep transmissions short and leave long gaps between transmissions so a spotter can easily break in.

Download an updated copy of the quadrant two net operations manual.The manual gives more details regarding the directed net and standby modes, including the preferred way to check in with reports.

Remember that in the past year, the 146.88 MHz repeater was unreliable (mostly when the weather was warm). As in the past, should the repeater develop problems during a SKYWARN operation, SKWYARN will switch to the 146.76 MHz repeater.

NWS appoints new leader for northern Indiana office

Photo of meteorologist Mark Frazier
Mark Frazier, incoming meteorologist in charge, National Weather Service northern Indiana office (Grand Forks Herald photo)

The National Weather Service (NWS) has appointed Mark Frazier to the position of meteorologist in charge (MIC) at its northern Indiana forecast office in Syracuse, Ind. Frazier will succeed Mike Sabones, who retired at the beginning of 2013.

Frazier is currently MIC at the Grand Forks, N.D. office and has nearly 24 years of experience with the NWS. Frazier began his career in weather forecasting as a meteorologist with the NWS Office in Pittsburgh in 1991, after receiving a bachelor’s degree in meteorology from The Ohio State University in 1989. He was promoted to a general meteorologist position in 1994 and promoted to senior meteorologist in 1999, both at the Memphis, Tenn. NWS office. In November 2003, Frazier became warning coordination meteorologist at the Shreveport, La. office and in 2007, he was promoted to MIC in Grand Forks.

Frazier has been directly involved with several significant weather events during his career, including nor’easters, tornado outbreaks, hurricanes, blizzards, and record flooding of the Red River of the North. While Frazier was at the Shreveport office, it received the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Bronze Award after Hurricane Rita of 2005. From 2009 to 2011, the Grand Forks office received the Department of Commerce Silver and NOAA Bronze awards for its handling of major to record Red River of the North flood events.

Frazier’s official reporting date at the northern Indiana office is May 4

Guest blog: Valuable resources for weather historians

1957 weather map
Daily Weather Map from 1957

Guest post by Michael Lewis, KG4KJQ
National Weather Service, Northern Indiana

When I was the science and operations officer in Jackson, Ken. and as the meteorologist in charge in Hastings, Neb., I used to do all kinds of digging through the historic archives for “significant” weather events.

You might find this interesting and there may be others who would as well. This is a must have for every history buff.

U.S. Daily Weather Maps
Publication History

The U.S. Signal Office began publishing weather maps as the War Department Maps on Jan. 1, 1871. When the meteorological activities of the Signal Corps were transferred to the newly-created Weather Bureau in 1891, the title of the weather map changed to the Department of Agriculture Weather Map. In 1913, the title became simply Daily Weather Map. In 1969, the Weather Bureau began publishing a weekly compilation of daily maps with the title Daily Weather Maps (Weekly series).

These maps can be downloaded from the NOAA Central Library: http://www.lib.noaa.gov/collections/imgdocmaps/daily_weather_maps.html

To view/print the maps requires the installation of a free browser plug-in. http://www.caminova.net/en/downloads/download.aspx?id=1

Michael Lewis, KG4KJQ is warning coordination meteorologist at the northern Indiana forecast office of National Weather Service, Syracuse, Ind.

Some Indiana residents receive tornado warning in error

Update: My contact at the National Weather Service (NWS) provided the following information this morning: There are now a lot of federal agencies investigating the cause/origin of this event. NWS will release the details as soon as possible after all investigations are complete. There is just not enough concrete evidence to state with certainty what actually happened or how.

Tornado warnings went out over the Emergency Alert System Tuesday morning in parts of northwestern Indiana, according to various sources. The alerts were heard on radio and television stations and received by individuals on cell phones that support Wireless Emergency Alerts. The northern Indiana office of the NWS had nothing to do with the alerts, as it tweeted Tuesday:

We’ve verified that this morning’s false tornado warning was not sent out from our office. We’re continuing to investigate the matter.
— NWS Northern Indiana (@NWSIWX) March 4, 2014

An article by Lafayette’s “Journal and Courier” newspaper indicates that the Indianapolis and Chicago NWS offices didn’t send the alert either. The Associated Press also ran a version of the article, which appeared on the websites of many publications and broadcast outlets.

I have seen no coverage that indicates the geographic area covered by the erroneous warning, but it apparently did not reach the Fort Wayne area. I sent a note to a contact at the northern Indiana office to ask whether any more is yet know. When I learn more, I’ll post it here.

NWS revises weekend snowfall forecast for northeastern Indiana, northwestern Ohio

Winter storm infographic

All signs continue to point toward accumulating snowfall arriving towards evening in far northwestern parts of the northern Indiana National Weather Service office’s coverage area, according to an Area Forecast Discussion the office issued at 10:37 a.m. EST. Meteorologists expect the snow to expand southeastward during the evening with peak snowfall between 10 p.m. EST and 10 a.m. EST Sunday.

The NWS expects most areas to see a uniform 2 to 4 or 3 to 5 inches of snow by Sunday morning, with locally higher amounts possible. The office plans to leave the current Winter Storm Watch in place for now, but indicated that it might replace it with a Winter Weather Advisory by early afternoon, depending on data from computer forecast models.

Check the NWS northern Indiana website, www.weather.gov/iwx, for the latest information and to obtain the snowfall forecast for your specific area.

Allen County, Indiana, two Ohio counties added to Winter Storm Watch

Winter storm watch banner graphic

The northern Indiana office of the National Weather Service (NWS) issued a Winter Storm Watch for three additional counties this afternoon: Allen County, Indiana and Paulding and Putnam Counties of Ohio.

Watch map from NWS
Blue area: Winter Storm Watch.

The new watch is in effect from 10 p.m. EST Saturday until 7 a.m. Monday morning. The watch indicates that the included counties could receive from six to 10 inches of snow Saturday night through Sunday night, with locally heavier amounts possible.

The NWS had previously issued a winter storm watch for more southern counties for the same period.

Here’s a link to the latest verbatim winter weather statements from the NWS.