All posts by Jay Farlow

I'm Jay Farlow. W9LW is my amateur (ham) radio call sign. I've been a ham since 1973. I've been a volunteer storm spotter for the National Weather Service SKYWARN program since the 1970s. I've also been a volunteer EMT and firefighter and member of a disaster medical assistance team. I advise the leadership team of Associated Churches Active in Disaster, a ministry of Associate Churches of Fort Wayne and Allen County. Learn more about w9lw at www.qrz.com/db/w9lw.

Slight risk of severe weather for western half of Ind., most of Ill.

day 1 convective outlook map
Risk of severe weather between 9 a.m. EDT today and 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow. Yellow area: Slight risk: Green: Thunderstorms forecast but not expected to be severe. Highlighted counties: County warning area of the northern Indiana NWS office. Source: SPC “Day 1 Convective Outlook,” 8:49 a.m . EDT.

Most of the western half if Indiana, most of Illinois and parts of many other states to the south have a slight risk of severe storms today and/or tonight, according to the “Day 1 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center issued at 8:49 a.m. EDT.

The greatest threat in the slight risk area is damaging thunderstorm winds of 58 mph or greater.

National Weather Service makes Twitter accounts operational

National Weather Service makes Twitter accounts operational.

The northern Indiana NWS office (@NWSIWX) has been doing a great job with Twitter for some time.

I encourage SKYWARN storm spotters who have not yet embraced this medium — including my fellow ham radio operators — to do so, as I did recently.

One advantage of Twitter is the ability to easily include photographs for visual verification of spotter reports.

I welcome your comments, using the link under the title of this post.

Slight risk of severe weather tomorrow in extreme western Ind., much of Ill.

Day 2 convective outlook map
Risk of severe weather between 8 a.m. EDT Thursday and 8 a.m. EDT Friday. Yellow area: Slight risk. Green area: Thunderstorms forecast but none expected to be severe. Unshaded area: No thunderstorms forecast. Source: SPC “Day 2 Convective Outlook,” 1:16 p.m. EDT. Note: This is a cropped version of the original map, to highlight Indiana and Illinois. Other states to the south are also affected. View the full map.

Areas along the western edge of Indiana have a slight risk of severe weather between 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow and 8 a.m. EDT Friday, according the “Day 2 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC)  issued at 1:16 p.m. EDT. The slight risk area also includes most of Illinois and parts of several other nearby states to the west and south.

The greatest threat in the slight risk area is damaging straight-line thunderstorms winds of 58 mph or stronger, from a squall line that forecasters expect will develop tomorrow afternoon.

The SPC will update its outlook for tomorrow when it issues the first of several “Day 1 Convective Outlooks” at around 1  a.m.

 

Slight risk of severe weather tomorrow in Indiana, Michigan, Illinois and Wisconsin

0600 Day 2 convective outlook map
Risk of severe weather between 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow and 8 a.m. EDT Sunday. Yellow shaded area: Slight risk. Green: Thunderstorms expected but none expected to be severe. Highlighted counties: County warning area of the northern Indiana NWS office. Source: SPC “Day 2 Convective Outlook,” 2:03 a.m.

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms in parts of Indiana, Illinois, Michigan and Wisconsin between 8 a.m. EDT tomorrow and 8 a.m. EDT Sunday, according to the “Day 2 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued at 2:03 a.m.

The slight risk area covers the northwestern half of the county warning area of the Northern Indiana NWS office. Except for a bit of northwestern Whitley County, IMO SKYWARN quadrant two lies outside the slight risk area.

That means that while thunderstorms are forecast in the Fort Wayne area for the popular Johnny Appleseed Festival, meteorologists do not at this time expect severe storms (i.e. storms with winds at or above 58 mph or hail of one inch diameter or larger) there.

The SPC will update its outlook for tomorrow by 1:30 p.m. EDT today.

NWS: No tornado in Van Wert County Wednesday

Storage building damaged by Sep. 10 storm
Photo provided by Van Wert County EMA.

National Weather Service meteorologists surveyed damage from Wednesday’s storm in Van Wert County yesterday. They found no evidence of a tornado touchdown but did find thunderstorm wind damage. Their preliminary report appears below.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
443 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2014 /343 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2014/


...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 09/10/14 THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE IN VAN
WERT COUNTY...OHIO.

.THUNDERSTORM WIND...

PEAK WIND: 60 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 5.5 MILES

SPORADIC STORM DAMAGE OBSERVED STARTING 5 MILES WSW OF
DELPHOS...OHIO AND TRAVELING TO 1.5 MILES NW OF DELPHOS OHIO WAS
DETERMINED TO BE CAUSED BY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. ALONG THE PATH
THERE WAS CORN FLATTENED...TREES UPROOTED...AND MINOR STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE TO A FEW BARNS.

NOTE:
THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

Yesterday’s storm system spawns possible tornado in Van Wert County

See an update to this story.

Tree and barn roof damage
Tree and barn roof damage from Wednesday’s storm. Photo provided by Van Wert County EMA.

A suspected tornado struck eastern Van Wert County yesterday afternoon.  A storm cell moved through eastern Van Wert County at 5:10 p.m. EST just west of Delphos and caused damage over a 1.5-mile-long area, according to Van Wert County Emergency Management Director Rick McCoy.

McCoy said that based on witness reports and observed damage, it appeared that a tornado moved through the area but he was waiting on official confirmation from the National Weather Service (NWS). A survey team from the northern Indiana NWS office is scheduled to assess the site this afternoon.

McCoy’s own survey of the area and interviews with residents provided the following information:

The possible tornado initially touched down in a corn field east of Brickner Road, one tenth of a mile south of Lincoln Highway, which is 1.25 miles west of Delphos. The damage path in the corn field was 25 yards wide, where some corn stalks had been flattened and others ripped out of the ground and carried across Brickner Road.

The storm then crossed Brickner Road, moving to the northeast through a bean field.

It then struck the Craig Beining property at 10671 Brickner Road, ripping numerous shingles off a barn roof and tearing a barn door off of north side of barn.

The storm then crossed Lincoln Highway and struck the Joe Wittler property at 23121 Lincoln Highway, where it uprooted a tree and tore numerous limbs out of several trees. It then ripped a barn door off the east side of a Morton building, ripped off a door on the north side of a larger barn and tore numerous slate shingles from the barn’s roof.

Wittler told McCoy he saw the storm approaching but the possible tornado was wrapped in rain, so all he could see was all the shingles from the neighbor’s barn swirling around in the rain as it came at him. He said he heard a loud “whoosh” and that it hit before the family could even get to the basement.

The storm path continued northeastward, cutting through two bean fields and then crossed Pohlman Road. It then cut through another bean field and then came to the Gordon Moenter property, located at 9874 Shenk Road

There, McCoy found a damage path in a field that was 25 yards wide. The storm split a large tree and tore the roof off of a barn. McCoy found the roof in splintered pieces across the road and in a bean field. The storm also tore the barn door off the east side of another barn.

The storm path then continued northeastward through two more bean fields, where the damage path ended before it reached the intersection of U.S. 30 and the Ohio State Route 66.

The total damage path was 1.5 miles long. No injuries or damage to homes were reported.

McCoy estimated the tornado as high end EF-0 damage.

The vigorous storm system that moved through the area yesterday had been forecast several days in advance with the possibility of isolated tornadoes.

NWS Cancels tornado watch

The National Weather Service canceled tornado watch 502 for the following counties as of 6:23 p.m. EDT:

IN NORTHERN INDIANA

JAY

IN NORTHWEST OHIO

ALLEN OH              PUTNAM                VAN WERT

The National Weather Service canceled tornado watch 502 for the following counties as of 5:47 p.m. EDT:

IN NORTHERN INDIANA:

ADAMS                 ALLEN IN              BLACKFORD
DE KALB               GRANT                 HUNTINGTON
MIAMI                 STEUBEN               WABASH
WELLS                 WHITLEY

IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN:

HILLSDALE

IN NORTHWEST OHIO:

DEFIANCE              FULTON OH             HENRY
PAULDING              WILLIAMS

Urban and small stream flood advisory for Allen, Huntington, Wells, Adams

Areal flood advisory map
Area within the green polygon is under an urban and small stream flood advisory until 10 p.m. EDT.
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
713 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

INC001-003-069-179-110215-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FA.Y.0037.140910T2313Z-140911T0200Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEN IN-HUNTINGTON IN-ADAMS IN-WELLS IN-
713 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN ADAMS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST INDIANA
  SOUTHERN ALLEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST INDIANA
  EASTERN HUNTINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST INDIANA
  NORTHERN WELLS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST INDIANA

* UNTIL 1000 PM EDT

* AT 711 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER BOWERSTOWN...OR ABOUT 3 MILES
EAST OF HUNTINGTON MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 
INCHES PER HOUR AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE AND ONE 
HALF INCH ARE LIKELY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...
COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

TO REPORT FLOODING...POST YOUR INFORMATION ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA FACEBOOK PAGE...OR YOU CAN POST ON TWITTER
WITH THE HASHTAG... #NWSIWX.

Good, quick explanation of atmospheric shortwave troughs

If you read convective outlooks as much as I do (especially during severe storm season), you’ll likely encounter a reference to a “shortwave,” which is an abbreviated way to mentioning a shortwave trough (area of low pressure) in the atmosphere.  Shortwaves can help create thunderstorms.

Meteorologist Jason Myers published an excellent, short video explanation of shortwaves. Check it out, it’ll only take you 65 seconds!

Tornado Watch until 9:00 p.m. EDT

Update: The NWS has canceled the tornado watch for northern Indiana and northwestern Ohio counties.

Tornado watch 501 county map

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 501
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   155 PM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     WEST CENTRAL THROUGH EASTERN INDIANA
     SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN
     WESTERN AND NORTHERN OHIO
     LAKE ERIE

   * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM
     UNTIL 900 PM EDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY
     SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF TOLEDO
   OHIO TO 20 MILES EAST OF BLOOMINGTON INDIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

TORNADO WATCH 501 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   INC001-003-005-009-011-013-021-029-031-033-035-041-047-053-055-
   057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-093-095-097-103-105-109-
   119-133-135-137-139-145-151-159-161-169-177-179-183-110100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0501.140910T1755Z-140911T0100Z/

   IN 
   .    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ADAMS                ALLEN               BARTHOLOMEW         
   BLACKFORD            BOONE               BROWN               
   CLAY                 DEARBORN            DECATUR             
   DELAWARE             DE KALB             FAYETTE             
   FRANKLIN             GRANT               GREENE              
   HAMILTON             HANCOCK             HENDRICKS           
   HENRY                HOWARD              HUNTINGTON          
   JACKSON              JAY                 JENNINGS            
   JOHNSON              LAWRENCE            MADISON             
   MARION               MIAMI               MONROE              
   MORGAN               OWEN                PUTNAM              
   RANDOLPH             RIPLEY              RUSH                
   SHELBY               STEUBEN             TIPTON              
   UNION                WABASH              WAYNE               
   WELLS                WHITLEY             


   MIC059-091-115-110100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0501.140910T1755Z-140911T0100Z/

   MI 
   .    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   HILLSDALE            LENAWEE             MONROE              


   OHC003-011-017-021-033-037-039-043-051-063-065-069-077-091-095-
   101-107-109-113-123-125-135-137-143-147-149-159-161-171-173-175-
   110100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0501.140910T1755Z-140911T0100Z/

   OH 
   .    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ALLEN                AUGLAIZE            BUTLER              
   CHAMPAIGN            CRAWFORD            DARKE               
   DEFIANCE             ERIE                FULTON              
   HANCOCK              HARDIN              HENRY               
   HURON                LOGAN               LUCAS               
   MARION               MERCER              MIAMI               
   MONTGOMERY           OTTAWA              PAULDING            
   PREBLE               PUTNAM              SANDUSKY            
   SENECA               SHELBY              UNION               
   VAN WERT             WILLIAMS            WOOD                
   WYANDOT              


   

View the full statement on the NWS website.