A smaller but still significant portion of Indiana continues to have a slight risk of severe weather between 8 a.m. tomorrow (Mon., Oct. 13) and 8 a.m. Tuesday, according to the “Day 2 Convective Outlook” that the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued at 1:59 a.m. EDT. As compared to yesterday’s “Day 3 Convective Outlook,” the slight risk area now includes less of northern and eastern Indiana.

The newly-drawn slight risk area (see map above) includes only four of the southwestern-most counties of the northern Indiana NWS office’s 37-county warning area; Miami, Cass, Pulaski and White.

Strong thunderstorms are possible elsewhere in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan, but those storms are not expected to be severe.

Within the slight risk area, widespread, straight-line damaging wind and a few tornadoes are the greatest threats. Any severe weather that forms in Indiana is most likely Monday night.

Our next look at the severe weather risk for tomorrow comes with an updated “Day 2 Convective Outlook” that the SPC plans to issue by 1:30 p.m. EDT today.