Thunderstorms tomorrow could be strong

0600Z day 2 convective outlook map
Probability of severe storms within 25 miles of a point between 8 a.m. EDT Fri., Sep. 5 and 8 a.m. EDT Sat. Brown area: 5 percent (below SPC “slight risk” criteria). White area: Less than 5 percent. Source: SPC “Day 2 Convective Outlook” issued at 12:26 a.m. EDT Sep. 4.

Meteorologists expect scattered thunderstorms in northern Indiana, southern Lower Michigan and northwestern Ohio tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night, according to a “Hazardous Weather Outlook” that the northern Indiana National Weather Service (NWS) office issued at 4:43 a.m. EDT.  There is a low risk that some of those storms could be strong, with isolated wind gusts in excess of 50 mph. Locally heavy rain will also be possible.

The NWS storm prediction center gave the area a 5 percent probability of severe storms within 25 miles of a point, according to the “Day 2 Convective Outlook” that the SPC issued at 12:26 a.m. EDT. Five percent is below SPC’s “slight risk” criteria, but the SPC indicated that if higher probabilities are needed in future outlooks, “it would seem to be areas of lower Michigan into perhaps northern Indiana or northwestern Ohio.”

The next outlook for tomorrow will be an updated SPC day two outlook, due out by 1:30 p.m. EDT.

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